Distribution of enterprise management resources based on parameters of a surge in demand for product

Orenburg state University, Aerospace Institute, 460018 Orenburg, Russia

^* Corresponding author: ahmedyanova@bk.ru

Abstract

All social and economic processes are characterized by the presence of a large number of low frequencies in the spectrum of the parameters describing them. In this case, it becomes possible to consider individual surges of a random process, which will be characterized by phase, average value and duration. According to these indicators, it is possible to prepare the enterprise for the production of precisely those products for which there is a surge in demand in the near future. It is accepted that the probability of a surge in demand for this type of product after a given time is a Markov nature and is described by the Kolmogorov equation. The overall probability of technology readiness can be defined as the product of the partial readiness probabilities in phase, duration and average amplitude, considering them to be independent events. The unavailability of technology decreases after each dosed management exposure. As a result, a methodology has been developed for the optimal distribution of control resources, which makes it possible to increase the availability of technology by more than a third compared to their equal distribution.