The methodology of estimation of transport demand by the parameters of location of the mass gravitation centers in the urbanized territories

Irkutsk National Research Technical University, 664074, Lermontova str., 83, Irkutsk, Russia

^* Corresponding author: azedgen@gmail.com

Abstract

The methodology of estimating transport demand by the parameters of location of the mass gravitation centers in the urbanized territories is considered in the article. The basis of the methodology is a basic scheme, conditionally divided into 4 main blocks and 17 steps. The first block is aimed at collecting primary information about the center of mass gravitation under consideration, the second one is for assessing transport demand during the daily period, the third one is necessary for assessing the quality of transport services for visitors of the considered center of mass gravity, for example, the calculation of the required number of parking slots or throughput, and confusing intersections. The fourth block is necessary for estimating the transport capacity of the calculation areas, and is the source of the initial data for transport planning at the second stage (trip distribution). It is also proposed to assess the accuracy of the proposed methodology on the basis of comparing the calculated values of the intensity of transport streams on the city’s network with the actual ones. On average, the deviation was 11%, which seems to be an acceptable accuracy for enlarged transport calculations.