MATEC Web Conf.
Volume 210, 201822nd International Conference on Circuits, Systems, Communications and Computers (CSCC 2018)
|Number of page(s)
|05 October 2018
Forecasting of flash floods by Algorithm of Storm Prediction
Tomas Bata University in Zlin, Faculty of Applied Informatics, Nad Stráněmi 4511, Zlin, Czech Republic
2 Tomas Bata University in Zlin, Faculty of Applied Informatics, Nad Stráněmi 4511, Zlin, Czech Republic
* Corresponding author: email@example.com
This article focuses on the forecasting of flash floods using the Algorithm of Storm Prediction as a new tool to predict convective precipitation, severe phenomena and the risk of flash floods. The first part of the article contains information on methods for predicting dangerous severe phenomena. This algorithm uses mainly data from numerical weather prediction models (NWP models), database of historic weather events and relief characteristics describing the influence of orography on the initiation of atmospheric convection. The result section includes verification of predicted algorithm outputs, selected NWP models and warnings of CHMI and ESTOFEX on three events related to the floods that hit the Zlín Region between years of 2015 - 2017. The main result is a report with prediction outputs of the algorithm visualized in maps for the territory of municipalities with extended competence and their regions. The outputs of the algorithm will be used primarily to increase the effectiveness of preventive measures against flash floods not only by the Fire Rescue Service of Czech Republic but also by the flood and crisis management authorities.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2018
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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