Solar Power Plant Generation Short-Term Forecasting Model

Automated Electrical Systems Department, Ural Federal University named after the first President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin, 19, Mira St., Yekaterinburg, Russia

Abstract

Recently, renewable generation plays an increasingly important role in the energy balance. Solar energy is developing at a rapid pace, while the solar power plants output depends on weather conditions. Solar power plant output short-term forecasting is an urgent issue. The future electricity generation qualitative forecasts allow electricity producers and network operators to actively manage the variable capacity of solar power plants, and thereby to optimally integrate the solar resources into the country's overall power system. The article presents one of the possible approaches to the solution of the short-term forecasting problem of a solar power plant output.