Prediction of PM2.5 concentration based on BP neural network optimized by bee colony algorithm

School of information engineering, Mianyang Normal University, Mianyang 621000, Sichuan

^* Corresponding author: 562863252@qq.com

Abstract

According to the ambient air pollutants data and meteorological conditions data of Mianyang City in 2017, the BP neural network model based on MATLAB is established to predict the daily average PM_2.5 concentration of Mianyang City in the next two days. However, the traditional BP network has the disadvantages of slow convergence speed and easy to fall into local optimum. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the model, an optimization algorithm is added to the prediction model to avoid the model falling into local minimum. In this paper, the bee colony algorithm is added to the prediction model to improve the accuracy of BP neural network prediction model. The data from January to November are used for training, and the data from December are used as the verification results. The results show that the optimization model can accurately predict the daily average PM_2.5 concentration of Mianyang City in the next two days, which provides a new idea for the prediction of PM_2.5 concentration of the city, provides a theoretical basis for the early warning and decision-making of air pollution, and also provides more reliable prediction services for people’s daily travel.