Intellectualization of logistic supply chains on the basis of forecasting volumes of cargo transportation

NTU, Department of Transport Law and Logistics, 010101, Kyiv, 1, M. Omelianovycha-Pavlenka Str., Ukraine

^* Corresponding author: volinec_3@ukr.net

Abstract

Research shows that the accelerated economic movement towards a more intelligent model of development and rapid dissemination of knowledge contributes to the emergence of new modern logistics technologies and approaches to managing global supply chains. The dominant feature of the sustainable development of transport services is the invariant concept of management, the basis of which is the socioecological and economic model. Indicators of the transport sector show a decline in volumes of transportation, but the positive dynamics of growth is demonstrated by the agrarian sector, which produces half of all export volumes and provides one third of the currency revenues of the state.Factors that inhibit the effective functioning of the logistics chain are revealed. In particular, the technological orientation of railways, mainly on route transportation, highlighted the problem of uneven development of ports at ports and railway ports, as well as inconsistencies in grain volumes in Stevedoring companies’ deals with real port facilities. In fact, there is a schedule of seasonal fluctuations in the transportation of cereals, in particular, their absence for 3-4 months per year.The rational model of management and intellectualization of grain supply logistic chain, which takes into account the indicators of artificial neural network forecasting and seasonal grain transportation parameter, is proposed.