Site selection of LNG terminal based on cloud matter element model and principal component analysis

Navigation College, Dalian Maritime University, Liaoning, China

^* Corresponding author: golea520@163.com

Abstract

With the development of liquefied natural gas(LNG) port, as one of the crucial LNG port sitting process, the LNG terminal site’s condition assessment method has always received attention from experts, scholars concern more and more about the method’s practicality and reliability. In the traditional condition assessment method, due to the characteristics of the complex and extensive factors in the comprehensive assessment of the LNG terminal site, the assessment system is not comprehensive enough, or the assessment is too complex, the indexes are not easy to quantify, such problems are emerging. In view of the above reasons, the principal component analysis(PCA) method is used to transform the multi-indicators that affect the comparison of terminal sites into a few comprehensive indicators. A comprehensive evaluation model of the LNG terminal site based on cloud matter element theory and subjective and objective comprehensive weighting method was constructed. By the subjective and objective comprehensive weighting method, the comprehensive weight of each index is determined and the LNG terminal site comprehensive assessment standard cloud element model is constructed with the combination of cloud model and matter-element theory. The cloud matter-element correlation function is established to determine the degree of association between the matter element to be evaluated and the standard cloud matter element model. In order to eliminate random errors and improve the credibility of the results, the algorithm is used for multiple calculations and analysis to achieve the purpose of simultaneously giving the evaluation results and coefficients of credible degree. Finally, the reliability and rationality of the method are verified by an example.