Forecasting the Number of Patients Diseases Using Backpropagation

Faculty of Engineering, University of Trunojoyo Madura, Indonesia

Email: aery_r@yahoo.com

Abstract

Forecasting with various types of disease is important for health centers, because it can be used to help the health center management in conducting strategic planning and decision making. Health Care Center Torjun in Indonesiahas made estimationabout the number of patients with various types of diseases, such as Acute Respiratory Infections(ISPA), RA(Rheumatoid Arthritis), diarrhea, HT(Hypertension), Skin Allergies, Conjunctivitis, Asthma, Febrile, TB(Tuberculosis). Lung, scabies, Gastritis, typus and scarlet fever with reports the number of patients with certain diseases in the coming period and prepare the necessary needs both medical services and as well as drugs for use later. In this study, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is one model that is used to identify patterns of images of people with various kinds of diseases. Backpropagation is one of the popular models of Neural Networkwhich is used for forecasting, prediction, and decision makers based on the input of data entry that has been studied in advance. The resultsis HT (0.35 %)with parameters for forecasting system using Neural Network Backpropagation is the best of the trial results that shows disease HT which are obtained from the experiments. They predict the number of patients with a disease that needs to be watched for in the coming period and prepare all the needs of both medical and medication needed to handle the number of people with the disease.