MATEC Web Conf.
Volume 246, 20182018 International Symposium on Water System Operations (ISWSO 2018)
|Number of page(s)||7|
|Section||Parallel Session I: Water Resources System|
|Published online||07 December 2018|
Optimizing the planting structure in Daxing District in 2020 based on inaccurate two-stage planning model and grey model
1 China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, 100048 Beijing, China
2 Water Recourses and Hydropower Planning and Design General Institute, 100120 Beijing, China
a Corresponding author: email@example.com
In order to optimize the planting structure and use water more efficiently, an inaccurate two-stage planning model is proposed in this paper. This model can not only reflect uncertainty of the probability distribution in the form of the possible distribution interval, but also build a recourse relationship between expected benefits and penalties for failing to achieve target goals. The two-stage planning model, combined with the gray GM (1.1) model, is applied to Daxing district of Beijing to optimize and adjust planting areas of the grain crops, fruits and vegetables, and garden plots in 2020. In the meantime, three scenarios were established for comparative analysis. Results show that after optimization, the economic benefits of above-mentioned three planting areas in Daxing district in 2020 is 3.71 billion CNY, an increase of 348 million from 2016 CNY; the total water consumption is 64.17 million cubic meters, a decrease of 62.79 million cubic meters from 2016. Results indicate that this model method is feasible for optimizing planting structure, and to some extent, can provide decision-making support and a theoretical basis for planting structure optimization and prediction in similar areas to Daxing district.
© The Authors, published by EDP Sciences, 2018
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Current usage metrics show cumulative count of Article Views (full-text article views including HTML views, PDF and ePub downloads, according to the available data) and Abstracts Views on Vision4Press platform.
Data correspond to usage on the plateform after 2015. The current usage metrics is available 48-96 hours after online publication and is updated daily on week days.
Initial download of the metrics may take a while.