Predicting the probability of Mount Merapi eruption using Bayesian Event Tree_Eruption ForecastingDyah Ika Rinawati, Diana Puspita Sari, Naniek Utami Handayani and Bramasta Raga SiwiMATEC Web Conf., 154 (2018) 01050DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/matecconf/201815401050